Chipped wrote:As for information on the internet, the most interesting snippet I could find was that "Jack high is always favourite against someone drawing one card, and Q high is always favourite over someone drawing 2 cards". Some fun maths going on there!
Well the one card draw isn't too bad....
Assume that the guy drawing one card has 4 cards under a jack with no pair and not all the same suit - ie he's not a total fish.
You must have 4 cards under a Jack yourself to have the J high low.
The best case scenrio for him is that you have the same 4 cards, as he has to hit a card that doesnt make him a pair, if you have different low cards you take away up to 4 of his outs.
So there's 36 cards in deck for him to hit that are under J, of which he has 4, and 12 others give him a pair (or you have), which leaves 20 outs for him.
There's 10 known cards (5 in your hand, 4 in his, and the one he's discarded) leaving 42 unknowns.
So that gives him a 20/42 shot at best, just under 48%. If you have different low cards he can only get worse.
And yes i realise its triple draw so some of the discards could count as known cards, but it's fairly hard to factor it in! Also you could of discarded some of his outs if they paired your own hand, so that evens it up a tad mbe...
Oh and the odds get slightly worse for the drawer as occasionally he might be drawing to a str8 as well, in which case some of his outs will be gone, ie if he has 2356 he cant hit the 4...
And drawing 2 is just annoying, so i wont bother, lol/
Thu May 29, 2014 1:45 pm by mikewashtm
» Betfair
Thu May 29, 2014 1:45 pm by mikewashtm
» anyone want to buy a % in me in sundays 40k on betfair
Thu May 29, 2014 1:44 pm by mikewashtm
» British open tips(betfair prices)
Thu May 29, 2014 1:43 pm by mikewashtm
» Pokerstars play money
Thu Dec 29, 2011 4:40 pm by jenny_kay1
» Where is everyone !!!!!!!!!!!!!1
Thu Dec 15, 2011 5:47 pm by jenny_kay1
» possible to be a good coach but losing player?
Wed Dec 07, 2011 5:07 am by albert1212
» which limit i should play??
Wed Dec 07, 2011 5:07 am by albert1212
» Why Poker is so popular?
Sat Nov 19, 2011 11:47 pm by artur11